Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa U20 vs Monza U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Spicuglia E.
44'
Mout M.
46'
Sub
Romano M. In: Giangreco N.
Out: Romano M.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Genoa U20 and Monza U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Genoa U20
30%
Draws
31%
Monza U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Monza U20 have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Genoa U20 are scoring more at 1.28.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa U20 Monza U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.28 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Monza U20
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Genoa U20
3:4
Jan 4, 2025 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Monza U20
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spicuglia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reita F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa U20 31 / 100
Monza U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa U20 Monza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Genoa U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Monza U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Genoa U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa U20 VS Monza U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa U20

(Home)
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
23 Aug
Genoa U20
0 : 1
Inter U20
15 Aug
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Genoa U20
15 May
Genoa U20
1 : 2
Inter U20
Page 1 of 6

Monza U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
16 May
Monza U20
0 : 0
Parma U20
09 May
Atalanta U20
1 : 0
Monza U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)