Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Genoa

4 - 1

Ascoli

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Silipo A.

Assist: D'Uffizi S.

42'

Marcandalli A.

Assist: Mitaj M.

45'

Baldanzi T.

Assist: Norton-Cuffy B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Genoa

15%

Draws

39%

Ascoli

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Genoa haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Genoa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Genoa Clean Sheet 12%

Ascoli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Genoa	Ascoli
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	10	18
Draws	7	3
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.21	1.81
Goals Conceded	1.48	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia

Genoa vs Ascoli

4:1

May 6, 2023 Serie B

Genoa vs Ascoli

2:1

Dec 11, 2022 Serie B

Ascoli vs Genoa

0:0

Dec 3, 2019 Coppa Italia

Genoa vs Ascoli

3:2

Aug 18, 2007 Coppa Italia

Ascoli vs Genoa

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcandalli A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baldanzi T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Silipo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 35 / 100

Ascoli 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Genoa Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Genoa scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ascoli let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Genoa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Ascoli

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)

16 Aug

Genoa

4 : 1

Ascoli

08 Aug

Genoa

0 : 1

Dep. A Coruna

04 Aug

Bournemouth

10 : 1

Genoa

01 Aug

Leicester

0 : 1

Genoa

25 Jul

Genoa

2 : 2

Vicenza

Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)

16 Aug

Genoa

4 : 1

Ascoli

08 Aug

Ascoli

3 : 1

Potenza

02 Aug

Ascoli

1 : 2

Lazio

26 Jul

Frosinone

1 : 0

Ascoli

07 Jun

Ascoli

3 : 0

Union Brescia

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa -

TBD -

Ascoli 3

Potenza 1

Catanzaro -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio -

TBD -

Mantova -

Lecce -

TBD -

Palermo -

Torino -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Monza -

TBD -

Avellino -

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Vicenza 1

Catania 2

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Arezzo 2

Union Brescia 0

Verona -

TBD -

Entella -

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Cesena -

Frosinone -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Udinese -

TBD -

Padova -

Venezia -

TBD -

Modena -

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa -

TBD -

Empoli -

Benevento 5

Ravenna 3

TBD -

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Napoli -

1/32-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa 4

Ascoli 1

Catanzaro 2

Sudtirol 3

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio 0

Mantova 2

Lecce 0

Palermo 2

Torino 1

Carrarese 0

Monza 3

Avellino 0

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese 2

Sampdoria 0

Catania 0

Parma 2

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari 1

Arezzo 0

Verona 3

Entella 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo 3

Cesena 0

Frosinone 4

Juve Stabia 1

Udinese 1

Padova 0

Venezia 3

Modena 2

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa 2

Empoli 1

Benevento 1

Fiorentina 4

TBD -

Napoli -

1/16-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa -

Sudtirol -

Bologna -

TBD -

Mantova -

Palermo -

Torino -

Monza -

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

Parma -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari -

Verona -

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo -

Frosinone -

Udinese -

Venezia -

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa -

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Napoli -

1/8-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Bologna -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Juventus -

TBD -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Napoli -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Genoa vs Ascoli

Italy

Genoa

Ascoli

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Genoa Compare

Ascoli Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

Ascoli

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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