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Genoa vs Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Silipo A.
Assist: D'Uffizi S.
42' Event
Marcandalli A.
Assist: Mitaj M.
45' Event
Baldanzi T.
Assist: Norton-Cuffy B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Genoa
30%
Draws
30%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Genoa haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Genoa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Genoa Clean Sheet 15%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Ascoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Ascoli
4:1
May 6, 2023 Serie B
Genoa vs Ascoli
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Genoa
0:0
Dec 3, 2019 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Ascoli
3:2
Aug 18, 2007 Coppa Italia
Ascoli vs Genoa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcandalli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldanzi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Silipo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 31 / 100
Ascoli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Genoa scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ascoli let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Genoa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Ascoli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)
06 Nov
Ascoli
1 : 1
Palermo
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
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Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
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Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -