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Stadium Background

Genoa vs Como - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Osmajic M.
Assist: Colombo L.
25' Event
Baturina M.
Assist: Valle A.
30' Event
Diao A.

AI Match Summary

Como in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Genoa
15%
Draws
47%
Como
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Como lately — more wins on the board than Genoa.
  • Win probability leans Como's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Genoa Clean Sheet 16%
Como Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Como
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
1:4
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Genoa
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Genoa
1:0
Nov 7, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmajic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Diao A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baturina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 10 / 100
Como 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Como conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Genoa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Como
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Como

(Away)
04 Nov
Lens
1 : 9
Como
01 Nov
Como
1 : 0
Venezia
27 Oct
Torino
1 : 3
Como
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
21 Oct
Como
4 : 1
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)