Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa vs Como

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Osmajic M.
Assist: Colombo L.
25' Event
Baturina M.
Assist: Valle A.
30' Event
Diao A.

AI Match Summary

Como in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Genoa
20%
Draws
61%
Como
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Como lately — more wins on the board than Genoa.
  • Win probability leans Como's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%
Como Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Como
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
1:4
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Genoa
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Genoa
1:0
Nov 7, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Como
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmajic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Diao A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baturina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 26 / 100
Como 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Genoa's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Genoa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Como
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2
Napoli
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Como

(Away)
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Inter 4 4 0 0 13:6 12
3 Como 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
5 Cagliari 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 AC Milan 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
8 Juventus 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
9 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 Napoli 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
11 Atalanta 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
12 Lecce 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
13 Udinese 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
14 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
15 Torino 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
17 Bologna 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Parma 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
19 Genoa 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
20 Venezia 4 0 0 4 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)