Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa vs Frosinone

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kvernadze G.
Assist: Schmid R.
16'
Cittadini G.
45' Event
Colombo L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Genoa
20%
Draws
57%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Frosinone have won more games recently than Genoa.
  • Model gives Frosinone a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Frosinone
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.16 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Frosinone
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Frosinone
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Genoa
2:1
May 13, 2023 Serie B
Frosinone vs Genoa
3:2
Dec 18, 2022 Serie B
Genoa vs Frosinone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvernadze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 18 / 100
Frosinone 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frosinone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Genoa scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Frosinone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Genoa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Frosinone
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
Page 1 of 7

Frosinone

(Away)
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)