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Genoa vs Napoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Politano M.
66'
Sub
Ostigard L. In: Otoa S.
Out: Ostigard L.
66'
Sub
Baldanzi T. In: Junior Messias
Out: Baldanzi T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Genoa and Napoli finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Genoa
15%
Draws
31%
Napoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Genoa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Napoli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Genoa Clean Sheet 68%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Napoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa
2:1
May 11, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Napoli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 68 / 100
Napoli 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Napoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Genoa's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Napoli has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Genoa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Napoli
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
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Napoli

(Away)
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1
Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0
Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)