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Stadium Background

Genoa vs Sudtirol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Giorgini A. In: Stabile G.
Out: Giorgini A.
61'
Sub
Mitaj M. In: Colombo L.
Out: Mitaj M.
61'
Sub
Drameh C. In: El Shaarawy S.
Out: Drameh C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Genoa
30%
Draws
14%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Genoa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Genoa taking it.
  • Genoa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Genoa, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Genoa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Genoa Clean Sheet 68%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Sudtirol
1:0
May 1, 2023 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Genoa
0:0
Dec 8, 2022 Serie B
Genoa vs Sudtirol
2:0
Jul 20, 2016 Club Friendly
Genoa vs Sudtirol
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 95 / 100
Sudtirol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Sudtirol let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Genoa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Sudtirol
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
01 Nov
Lecce
1 : 2
Genoa
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -