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Genoa vs Venezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genoa host Venezia in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Venezia have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Genoa have conceded 1.52 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Genoa slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.38, favoring Venezia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Genoa
15%
Draws
28%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Venezia have won more games recently than Genoa.
  • Win probability leans Genoa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Genoa Clean Sheet 17%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Venezia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Venezia
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Serie A
Venezia vs Genoa
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Venezia vs Genoa
1:3
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Genoa vs Venezia
1:4
Jan 16, 2023 Serie B
Genoa vs Venezia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 48 / 100
Venezia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Venezia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Genoa's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Venezia
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
02 Oct
Rapid Bucuresti
2 : 0
Genoa
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
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Venezia

(Away)
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0
Napoli
12 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Venezia
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
7 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
9 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)