Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa W vs Lazio W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio La Sciorba, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Acuti A.
Assist: Bahr E.
13'
Acuti A.
19' Event
Martin E.

AI Match Summary

Lazio W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Genoa W
15%
Draws
73%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Genoa W haven't matched Lazio W's recent run of results.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa W Lazio W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Lazio W
2:5
Oct 11, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Genoa W
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Serie B Women
Genoa W vs Lazio W
2:2
Sep 30, 2023 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Genoa W
3:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie B Women
Lazio W vs Genoa W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Piemonte M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa W 30 / 100
Lazio W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Genoa W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Lazio W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Lazio W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Genoa W VS Lazio W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa W

(Home)
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
02 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 0
Genoa W
25 Apr
Genoa W
1 : 2
Inter W
04 Apr
Napoli W
4 : 1
Genoa W
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Lazio W

(Away)
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
10 May
Lazio W
2 : 0
Ternana W
03 May
Parma W
1 : 3
Lazio W
25 Apr
Lazio W
0 : 3
Sassuolo W
04 Apr
Inter W
5 : 2
Lazio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)