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Genova vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Genova
20%
Draws
44%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Collerense have won more games recently than Genova.
  • Win probability leans Genova's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Genova Clean Sheet 20%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genova Collerense
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Collerense
2:5
Nov 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Genova
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genova 36 / 100
Collerense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genova Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Collerense conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Genova scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Genova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Collerense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genova

(Home)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)