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Genova vs Santa Catalina Atletico

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Genova and Santa Catalina Atletico finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Genova
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Catalina Atletico
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Genova haven't matched Santa Catalina Atletico's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Genova Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genova Santa Catalina Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Genova
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genova 41 / 100
Santa Catalina Atletico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genova Santa Catalina Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Catalina Atletico has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Genova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Genova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genova VS Santa Catalina Atletico
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%