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Gent B vs Belisia Bilzen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gent B play Belisia Bilzen in the National Division 1 - VV 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gent B averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Belisia Bilzen averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Gent B won 0, Belisia Bilzen won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Gent B and 1.61 for Belisia Bilzen. This points to a Gent B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gent B
17%
Draws
39%
Belisia Bilzen
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gent B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gent B picked up more points recently compared to Belisia Bilzen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Gent B Clean Sheet 14%
Belisia Bilzen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent B Belisia Bilzen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.2 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Belisia Bilzen vs Gent B
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Gent B vs Belisia Bilzen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent B Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Belisia Bilzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Valcke S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent B 42 / 100
Belisia Bilzen 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent B Belisia Bilzen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gent B or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gent B attacking → ← attacking Belisia Bilzen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gent B scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Belisia Bilzen let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gent B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belisia Bilzen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gent B30195663:3162
2Knokke301414253:3156
3Hasselt30157850:2852
4Tienen301441239:3446
5Dessel301371062:4746
6Thes Sport30129950:4245
7Ninove301271139:4043
8K. Lyra-Lierse301110958:5143
9Cercle Brugge 2301241454:5340
10Belisia Bilzen301091138:4339
11Hoogstraten301081243:4538
12Leuven B301061446:5336
13Merelbeke30871533:5331
14Cappellen30851740:7229
15Antwerp B306101434:5028
16Heist30681637:6626