Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gent U19 vs Basel U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 PGB Stadion, Gent
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Onyegbule A.
52'
Jordan E.
53'
Sub
Jashari E. In: Xhemalija D.
Out: Jashari E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Basel U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gent U19
15%
Draws
85%
Basel U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Basel U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Basel U19 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Basel U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gent U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Basel U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent U19 Basel U19
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.25 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Basel U19 vs Gent U19
2:0
Oct 4, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Gent U19 vs Basel U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Basel U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyegbule A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent U19 10 / 100
Basel U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent U19 Basel U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basel U19 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Basel U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gent U19 scored in 25% of their last 8 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent U19 VS Basel U19
0 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent U19

(Home)
25 Oct
Basel U19
2 : 0
Gent U19
04 Oct
Gent U19
0 : 1
Basel U19
09 Dec
Gent U19
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg U19
24 Nov
Lyon U19
4 : 0
Gent U19
04 Nov
Gent U19
0 : 4
Valencia U19
Page 1 of 2

Basel U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Betis U19
2 : 0
Basel U19
22 Oct
Basel U19
3 : 2
Betis U19
11 Dec
Rapid Vienna U19
3 : 0
Basel U19
26 Nov
Basel U19
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna U19
06 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Basel U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rukh Lviv U19 4
FK Sarajevo U19 2
Famalicao U19 2
Midtjylland U19 3
Lech Poznan U19 1
Nantes U19 2
Malmo FF U19 3
HJK U19 5
Molde U19 5
Hamilton U19 4
AZ Alkmaar U19 14
Klaipedos FM U19 0
Sparta Prague U19 1
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Pafos U19 0
Zilina U19 6
Gent U19 0
Basel U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 5
Basaksehir U19 2
Gabala U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6
Lecce U19 2
Maribor U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Ludogorets U19 1
Turan U19 0
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 6
Univ. Craiova U19 0
Partizan U19 5
Final
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Midtjylland U19 4
Nantes U19 2
HJK U19 1
Molde U19 3
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Sparta Prague U19 6
Zilina U19 7
Basel U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 0
Gabala U19 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 4
Partizan U19 5