Sport Picks

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Gent U23 vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Viltard M.
46'
Sub
Diallo M. In: Kongolo T.
Out: Diallo M.
52' Event
Cools K.
Assist: Koton K.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Gent U23 and Dender finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dender.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gent U23
15%
Draws
64%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gent U23 come out ahead of Dender on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dender a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gent U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent U23 Dender
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Gent U23 vs Dender
0:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Dender vs Gent U23
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Cools K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent U23 16 / 100
Dender 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent U23 Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gent U23 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Dender conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gent U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent U23 VS Dender
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent U23

(Home)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
05 Sept
Gent U23
2 : 2
Anderlecht U23
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
16 Aug
Beerschot VA
4 : 0
Gent U23
31 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 0
Gent U23
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Dender

(Away)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 Dender 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 Virton 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
4 Eupen 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Francs Borains 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
6 Sporting Lokeren 5 3 0 2 12:10 9
7 Hasselt 5 3 0 2 4:6 9
8 Club Brugge U23 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
9 Genk U23 5 2 0 3 10:12 6
10 RFC Liege 5 1 2 2 9:10 5
11 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
12 Gent U23 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Patro Eisden 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
14 RFC Seraing 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
15 Anderlecht U23 5 0 1 4 5:12 1
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