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Gent U23 vs Lommel SK

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent U23 Logo

Gent U23

2 - 2
FT
Lommel SK Logo

Lommel SK

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Abdullahi A.
44' Event
Abdullahi A.
Assist: Sylla A. D.
46'
Sub
Asselman W. In: Mazouz J.
Out: Asselman W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gent U23
15%
Draws
51%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lommel SK lately — more wins on the board than Gent U23.
  • Model gives Gent U23 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lommel SK have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gent U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent U23 Lommel SK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Gent U23 vs Lommel SK
2:2
Dec 12, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Gent U23
2:0
Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Lommel SK vs Gent U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullahi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazouz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyners T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schoofs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent U23 36 / 100
Lommel SK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent U23 Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Gent U23 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lommel SK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent U23 VS Lommel SK
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent U23

(Home)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
05 Sept
Gent U23
2 : 2
Anderlecht U23
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
16 Aug
Beerschot VA
4 : 0
Gent U23
31 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 0
Gent U23
Page 1 of 6

Lommel SK

(Away)
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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