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Stadium Background

Gent vs Crvena zvezda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gent host Crvena zvezda in the Conference League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Gent have averaged 1.67 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Crvena zvezda's 2.39 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Gent have won 0 to Crvena zvezda's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 26, 2020, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.00, favoring Crvena zvezda. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gent
20%
Draws
61%
Crvena zvezda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crvena zvezda lately — more wins on the board than Gent.
  • Model gives Crvena zvezda a 61% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gent Clean Sheet 10%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Crvena zvezda
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.39
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2020 Europa League
Gent vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Nov 5, 2020 Europa League
Crvena zvezda vs Gent
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 10 / 100
Crvena zvezda 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Crvena zvezda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gent scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Crvena zvezda let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Gent stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS Crvena zvezda
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
05 Nov
KuPS
0 : 0
Gent
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Braga
2 : 0
Gent
18 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 3
Gent
Page 1 of 6

Crvena zvezda

(Away)
05 Nov
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
31 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 4
Crvena zvezda
28 Oct
Jedinstvo Ub
1 : 5
Crvena zvezda
25 Oct
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
22 Oct
Crvena zvezda
2 : 2
FC Copenhagen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)