Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gent vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Araujo T.
57'
Sub
Opoku D. In: Traore A. K.
Out: Opoku D.
58'
George W.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Gent and Leuven finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Gent
20%
Draws
19%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gent come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Gent are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gent Clean Sheet 68%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Leuven
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Gent
4:0
Jan 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Gent
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 95 / 100
Leuven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gent remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gent scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Leuven conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS Leuven
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
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Leuven

(Away)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)