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Gent vs Leuven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Araujo T.
57'
Sub
Opoku D. In: Traore A. K.
Out: Opoku D.
58'
George W.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Gent and Leuven finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gent
30%
Draws
51%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gent come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Leuven are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gent Clean Sheet 22%
Leuven Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Leuven
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.46
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Gent
4:0
Jan 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Gent
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Leuven
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 29 / 100
Leuven 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gent found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Leuven let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gent stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS Leuven
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
05 Nov
KuPS
0 : 0
Gent
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Braga
2 : 0
Gent
18 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 3
Gent
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Leuven

(Away)
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
17 Oct
Leuven
1 : 0
Francs Borains
11 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Leuven
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)