Sport Picks

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Gent vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gent host St. Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gent at 1.53 goals for, 1 against; St. Liege at 1.71 for, 0.96 against. Head-to-head, Gent have won 5 to St. Liege's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Gent. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gent
30%
Draws
32%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege haven't matched Gent's recent run of results.
  • Gent are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gent have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gent Clean Sheet 20%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent St. Liege
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Gent
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs St. Liege
4:0
Dec 22, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Gent
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs St. Liege
5:0
May 18, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Gent
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 40 / 100
St. Liege 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Gent went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gent scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

St. Liege let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS St. Liege
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
27 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 3
Gent
20 Aug
Gent
0 : 0
Hibernian
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St. Liege

(Away)
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3
St. Liege
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 5 5 0 0 10:2 15
2 Royale Union SG 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Club Brugge 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
4 Charleroi 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
5 Waregem 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
6 St. Liege 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 Genk 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
9 St. Truiden 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
10 Lommel SK 5 2 1 2 6:3 7
11 Antwerp 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
12 SK Beveren 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Westerlo 5 1 1 3 9:14 4
14 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
15 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
17 Leuven 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
18 Kortrijk 5 0 0 5 1:12 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)