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Gent vs St. Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent Logo

Gent

2 - 1
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Ngom M. In: Paskotsi M.
Out: Ngom M.
31' Event
Vergara J.
45' Event
Nielsen C.
Assist: Eckert D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gent in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gent
20%
Draws
40%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege haven't matched Gent's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gent have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gent Clean Sheet 68%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent St. Liege
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.66
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs St. Liege
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Gent
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs St. Liege
4:0
Dec 22, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Gent
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs St. Liege
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgess C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nielsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 41 / 100
St. Liege 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gent scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

St. Liege has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

St. Liege lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS St. Liege
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
05 Nov
KuPS
0 : 0
Gent
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Braga
2 : 0
Gent
18 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 3
Gent
Page 1 of 6

St. Liege

(Away)
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)