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Stadium Background

Geoje vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3-K4 League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Geoje
15%
Draws
51%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocheon lately — more wins on the board than Geoje.
  • Pocheon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Pocheon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pocheon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Pocheon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.77 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Geoje vs Pocheon
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 18 / 100
Pocheon 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geoje scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pocheon has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Geoje remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Pocheon
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Yeoju Citizen 0
Busan Kyotong 2
Siheung Citizen 0
Ulsan Citizen 1
Chuncheon 1
Geoje 2
Gyeongju KHNP 2
Pocheon 5
Semi-finals
Busan Kyotong 1
Ulsan Citizen 0
Geoje 1
Pocheon 2
Final
Busan Kyotong 1
Pocheon 0