Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia U21 vs Israel U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Georgia U21 Logo

Georgia U21

Sat, Jul 1, 2023
0 - 1
04:00 PM
Israel U21 Logo

Israel U21

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gelashvili I. In: Khvadagiani S.
Out: Gelashvili I.
49'
Kartsev E.
51'
Sub
Kartsev E. In: Hofmayster Y.
Out: Kartsev E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Israel U21 in this Euro U21 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Georgia U21
30%
Draws
47%
Israel U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Israel U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Israel U21 haven't matched Georgia U21's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Georgia U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Israel U21, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Israel U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Israel U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia U21 Israel U21
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2023 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Israel U21
0:1
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Georgia U21 vs Israel U21
1:2
Mar 26, 2019 Friendly International
Georgia U21 vs Israel U21
2:1
Mar 23, 2011 Friendly International
Israel U21 vs Georgia U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia U21 31 / 100
Israel U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia U21 Israel U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Israel U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia U21 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Israel U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Georgia U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Georgia U21 VS Israel U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 7

Israel U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
10 Oct
Israel U21
1 : 1
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Georgia U21 0
Israel U21 1
England U21 1
Portugal U21 0
Spain U21 2
Switzerland U21 1
France U21 1
Ukraine U21 3
Semi-finals
Israel U21 0
England U21 3
Spain U21 5
Ukraine U21 1
Final
England U21 1
Spain U21 0