Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi

Georgia

3 - 0

Bulgaria

Our Tip

Match Events

Mekvabishvili A.

Lochoshvili L.

18'

Tsenov E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Georgia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Georgia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Georgia

30%

Draws

39%

Bulgaria

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Georgia have won more games recently than Bulgaria.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Georgia Clean Sheet 11%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Georgia	Bulgaria
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	6
Draws	5	10
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.57	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.36	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Georgia

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Georgia vs Bulgaria

3:0

Jun 12, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Georgia vs Bulgaria

0:0

Jun 5, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria vs Georgia

2:5

Sep 8, 2021 Friendly International

Bulgaria vs Georgia

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvaratskhelia K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gagnidze N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Bulgaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia 30 / 100

Bulgaria 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Georgia Bulgaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Bulgaria let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Georgia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Georgia VS Bulgaria

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia

(Home)

05 Jun

Georgia

2 : 0

Bahrain

02 Jun

Georgia

1 : 1

Romania

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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Bulgaria

(Away)

05 Jun

Moldova

2 : 2

Bulgaria

01 Jun

Bulgaria

0 : 1

Montenegro

30 Mar

Indonesia

0 : 1

Bulgaria

27 Mar

Solomon Islands

2 : 10

Bulgaria

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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