Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia vs Czech Republic

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Volksparkstadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Georgia play Czech Republic in the Euro 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Georgia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Czech Republic averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Georgia won 1, Czech Republic won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 19, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Georgia and 2.00 for Czech Republic. This points to a Czech Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Georgia
24%
Draws
42%
Czech Republic
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Czech Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Georgia picked up more points recently compared to Czech Republic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Georgia Clean Sheet 10%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia Czech Republic
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Georgia
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Georgia vs Czech Republic
4:1
Jun 22, 2024 Euro
Georgia vs Czech Republic
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Czech Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia 33 / 100
Czech Republic 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia Czech Republic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Czech Republic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Georgia attacking → ← attacking Czech Republic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Czech Republic let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Georgia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Czech Republic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 60
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany32108:27
2Switzerland31205:35
3Hungary31022:53
4Scotland30122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain33005:09
2Italy31113:34
3Croatia30213:62
4Albania30123:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England31202:15
2Denmark30302:23
3Slovenia30302:23
4Serbia30211:22
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria32016:46
2France31202:15
3Netherlands31114:44
4Poland30123:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Romania31114:34
2Belgium31112:14
3Slovakia31113:34
4Ukraine31112:44
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal32015:36
2Turkey32015:56
3Georgia31114:44
4Czech Republic30123:51