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Georgia vs Northern Ireland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Georgia Logo

Georgia

0 - 1
FT
Northern Ireland Logo

Northern Ireland

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kharebashvili S. In: Chakvetadze G.
Out: Kharebashvili S.
64'
Ballard D.
65' Event
Kvaratskhelia K.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Georgia and Northern Ireland finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Ireland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Georgia
35%
Draws
40%
Northern Ireland
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Northern Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Northern Ireland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Northern Ireland here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Georgia Clean Sheet 20%
Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia Northern Ireland
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland vs Georgia
0:0
Sep 25, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Georgia vs Northern Ireland
0:1
Mar 26, 2008 Friendly International
Northern Ireland vs Georgia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Northern Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia 36 / 100
Northern Ireland 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia Northern Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Ireland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Georgia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Georgia VS Northern Ireland
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia

(Home)
05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Georgia
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0
Georgia
28 Sept
Georgia
0 : 0
Ukraine
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
Page 1 of 7

Northern Ireland

(Away)
05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Georgia
02 Oct
Ukraine
0 : 3
Northern Ireland
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Hungary
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
08 Jun
France
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)