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Geretsried vs Kottern-St. Mang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geretsried host Kottern-St. Mang in the Oberliga Bayern Süd. Kottern-St. Mang go into this one as the clear favorite. Geretsried have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Kottern-St. Mang's 1.16 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Geretsried have won 1 to Kottern-St. Mang's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Kottern-St. Mang to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Geretsried
35%
Draws
45%
Kottern-St. Mang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Geretsried have won more games recently than Kottern-St. Mang.
  • Model gives Kottern-St. Mang a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 20%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geretsried Kottern-St. Mang
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs Kottern-St. Mang
1:1
Aug 1, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Geretsried
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geretsried 24 / 100
Kottern-St. Mang 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geretsried Kottern-St. Mang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Geretsried scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Kottern-St. Mang conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Geretsried remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Geretsried VS Kottern-St. Mang
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Geretsried

(Home)
23 Oct
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
2 : 1
Geretsried
17 Oct
Geretsried
1 : 2
Ismaning
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Geretsried
1 : 2
Kirchanschoring
26 Sept
Gundelfingen
0 : 1
Geretsried
Page 1 of 7

Kottern-St. Mang

(Away)
24 Oct
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 1
Heimstetten
17 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 2
Kottern-St. Mang
10 Oct
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 0
Munich 1860 II
02 Oct
FC Schwaig
0 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3
Kottern-St. Mang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 16 10 3 3 42:21 33
2 SV Erlbach 16 9 5 2 23:10 32
3 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 16 10 1 5 36:25 31
4 Pfaffenhofen 16 8 5 3 29:25 29
5 Landshut 16 8 4 4 30:19 28
6 Hankofen-Hailing 16 8 4 4 27:19 28
7 FC Schwaig 16 6 9 1 35:19 27
8 Ismaning 16 7 2 7 32:24 23
9 Munich 1860 II 16 5 6 5 33:30 21
10 TSV Schwabmunchen 16 5 4 7 31:32 19
11 Heimstetten 16 4 7 5 27:29 19
12 Kottern-St. Mang 16 4 6 6 15:21 18
13 Gundelfingen 16 4 5 7 22:25 17
14 Deisenhofen 16 4 4 8 21:37 16
15 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 16 3 6 7 20:29 15
16 Kirchanschoring 16 4 3 9 20:33 15
17 Geretsried 16 3 2 11 16:34 11
18 Schalding 16 2 4 10 19:46 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)