Sport Picks
Geretsried vs Kottern-St. Mang
Germany
Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Geretsried enters this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Geretsried averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Kottern-St. Mang shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Geretsried, 0 wins for Kottern-St. Mang, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.04.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Geretsried and 1.00 for Kottern-St. Mang, suggesting the primary value lies in the Geretsried double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Geretsried picked up more points recently compared to Kottern-St. Mang.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Geretsried | Kottern-St. Mang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.57 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Tactical Matchup Profile
Field Positions & Control Styles
Geretsried
Kottern-St. Mang
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Expected Match Flow Timeline
Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals
Geretsried is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Kottern-St. Mang will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Geretsried's attacks.
Expect Geretsried to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Geretsried vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Kottern-St. Mang, allowing Geretsried's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Geretsried, while Kottern-St. Mang takes risks to salvage a result.
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Geretsried have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Kottern-St. Mang have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Geretsried remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Kottern-St. Mang suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Munich 1860 II | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 74:26 | 68 |
| 2 | Landsberg | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 79:43 | 65 |
| 3 | Kirchanschoring | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 67:35 | 58 |
| 4 | Gundelfingen | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 51:33 | 55 |
| 5 | SV Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 6 | Pipinsried | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 58:37 | 52 |
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44:47 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Schwaig | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Geretsried | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 49:46 | 44 |
| 11 | Nordlingen | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 58:58 | 44 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Schalding | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Kottern-St. Mang | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40:57 | 33 |
| 15 | FC Sturm Hauzenberg | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 24:64 | 23 |
| 16 | Turkspor Augsburg | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 28:83 | 17 |
| 17 | Turkgucu Munchen | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21:78 | 13 |