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Stadium Background

Geretsried vs Pfaffenhofen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between Geretsried and Pfaffenhofen finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pfaffenhofen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Geretsried
30%
Draws
70%
Pfaffenhofen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pfaffenhofen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Pfaffenhofen haven't matched Geretsried's recent run of results.
  • Geretsried are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 11%
Pfaffenhofen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geretsried Pfaffenhofen
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.41 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs Pfaffenhofen
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geretsried 56 / 100
Pfaffenhofen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geretsried Pfaffenhofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geretsried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Geretsried's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pfaffenhofen let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Pfaffenhofen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geretsried VS Pfaffenhofen
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Geretsried

(Home)
19 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 3
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
12 Sept
Deisenhofen
4 : 0
Geretsried
05 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 1
Landshut
28 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 0
Geretsried
22 Aug
Geretsried
2 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
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Pfaffenhofen

(Away)
19 Sept
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Hankofen-Hailing
12 Sept
Pfaffenhofen
3 : 3
FC Schwaig
05 Sept
Schalding
2 : 2
Pfaffenhofen
29 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
0 : 3
TSV Schwabmunchen
25 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
1 : 1
Heimstetten
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 10 7 1 2 29:13 22
2 Landshut 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
3 SV Erlbach 11 6 3 2 14:5 21
4 Hankofen-Hailing 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
5 FC Schwaig 11 3 7 1 22:14 16
6 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 10 5 1 4 22:19 16
7 Pfaffenhofen 10 4 4 2 18:19 16
8 Ismaning 10 4 2 4 20:14 14
9 Gundelfingen 11 3 5 3 16:19 14
10 Munich 1860 II 11 3 4 4 22:22 13
11 Heimstetten 11 3 4 4 19:24 13
12 Deisenhofen 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
13 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 11 2 5 4 16:17 11
14 TSV Schwabmunchen 10 2 3 5 20:21 9
15 Kirchanschoring 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
16 Kottern-St. Mang 10 2 2 6 8:17 8
17 Geretsried 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
18 Schalding 10 1 4 5 13:30 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)