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Germaneya vs Chavdar Etropole

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Germaneya and Chavdar Etropole finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chavdar Etropole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Germaneya
15%
Draws
42%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germaneya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Germaneya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Germaneya's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 16%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 1.13 0.59
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Chavdar Etropole
2:3
Aug 22, 2018 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Germaneya
7:0
Apr 7, 2018 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Germaneya
2:2
Sep 27, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Chavdar Etropole
0:5
Apr 8, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Chavdar Etropole
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 41 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Germaneya scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Chavdar Etropole lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Chavdar Etropole
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)