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Germaneya vs CSKA Sofia III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Germaneya and CSKA Sofia III finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Germaneya
30%
Draws
47%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia III come out ahead of Germaneya on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs CSKA Sofia III
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Germaneya
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Germaneya remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS CSKA Sofia III
1.17 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)