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Germaneya vs CSKA Sofia III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Germaneya and CSKA Sofia III finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Germaneya
6%
Draws
90%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia III come out ahead of Germaneya on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs CSKA Sofia III
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Germaneya
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya CSKA Sofia III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Germaneya remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS CSKA Sofia III
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238