Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germaneya vs Fratria

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Brikner I.
78' Event
Druiventak X.
85' Event
Druiventak X.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Fratria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Germaneya
30%
Draws
52%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fratria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fratria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Fratria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Fratria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 14
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 1.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Germaneya vs Fratria
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germaneya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Druiventak X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brikner I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
Fratria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fratria let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Germaneya stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Fratria
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Fratria

(Away)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2