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Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Germaneya and Septemvri Simitli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Germaneya
6%
Draws
90%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Germaneya haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 12%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Septemvri Simitli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Germaneya stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Septemvri Simitli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0
Septemvri Simitli
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1
Kostinbrod
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)