Sport Picks
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Germaneya and Septemvri Simitli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Germaneya haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Septemvri Simitli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Germaneya | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.95 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya
4:1
May 23, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
0:3
Nov 17, 2018 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya
3:0
Feb 24, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Germaneya 26 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Germaneya Septemvri Simitli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Germaneya remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Germaneya VS Septemvri Simitli
1.4 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Germaneya
(Home) 30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1 Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4 Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Germaneya
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21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4 Gotse Delchev
25 Apr
Germaneya
0 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
09 Apr
Germaneya
0 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
28 Mar
Germaneya
2 : 3 Slavia Sofia 2
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Septemvri Simitli
(Away) 12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
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05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
