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Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Germaneya and Slivnishki Geroy finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Slivnishki Geroy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Germaneya
20%
Draws
50%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Slivnishki Geroy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Slivnishki Geroy are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slivnishki Geroy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:2
May 18, 2019 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Germaneya
3:1
Nov 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:2
Mar 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 22 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slivnishki Geroy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Slivnishki Geroy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Germaneya stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Slivnishki Geroy
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)