Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germaneya vs Velbazhd Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Germaneya and Velbazhd Kyustendil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germaneya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Germaneya
15%
Draws
0%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germaneya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Germaneya's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Velbazhd Kyustendil have produced (0.5).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Germaneya taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 15%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Velbazhd Kyustendil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
1:0
Sep 1, 2018 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Germaneya
1:2
Feb 25, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
1:1
Aug 14, 2016 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Germaneya
1:2
Mar 23, 2016 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 84 / 100
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Velbazhd Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germaneya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Velbazhd Kyustendil has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Velbazhd Kyustendil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Velbazhd Kyustendil

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)