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Germaneya vs Vihren

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Germaneya and Vihren finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vihren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Germaneya
15%
Draws
69%
Vihren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vihren come out ahead of Germaneya on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Vihren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vihren have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Vihren Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Vihren
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Vihren
1:5
Sep 15, 2018 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Germaneya
1:0
May 2, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Vihren
5:2
Oct 21, 2017 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Germaneya
2:0
May 20, 2017 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Germaneya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
Vihren 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Vihren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Germaneya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vihren let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Germaneya stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Vihren
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Vihren

(Away)
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)