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Germany U16 W vs Brazil U17 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Thu, Feb 1, 2024
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Friendly International Women 2024 encounter between Germany U16 W and Brazil U17 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Germany U16 W averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Brazil U17 W shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Germany U16 W, 1 wins for Brazil U17 W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 01.02.24 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.27 for Germany U16 W and 1.90 for Brazil U17 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Brazil U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Germany U16 W
18%
Draws
48%
Brazil U17 W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Brazil U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Germany U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Brazil U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 1.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Germany U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil U17 W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U16 W Brazil U17 W
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

01.02.24 Friendly International Women
Germany U16 W vs Brazil U17 W
2:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Germany U16 W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Brazil U17 W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wrigge A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demirbas E. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Brazil U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephanie
2 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U16 W 33 / 100
Brazil U17 W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U16 W Brazil U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Germany U16 W 37%
Brazil U17 W 38%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Germany U16 W 32%
Brazil U17 W 50%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Germany U16 W 34%
Brazil U17 W 48%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Germany U16 W 36%
Brazil U17 W 46%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Germany U16 W 31%
Brazil U17 W 53%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Germany U16 W 39%
Brazil U17 W 55%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Germany U16 W attacking → ← attacking Brazil U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U16 W have found the net in 88% of their last 24 matches.

Brazil U17 W have conceded at least one goal in 55% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Germany U16 W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Brazil U17 W suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Friendly match context where both Germany U16 W and Brazil U17 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 60
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88