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Germany U16 W vs USA U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Germany U16 W play USA U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Germany U16 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. USA U16 W averaged 4 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Germany U16 W won 0, USA U16 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Germany U16 W and 2.81 for USA U16 W. This points to a USA U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Germany U16 W
15%
Draws
55%
USA U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Germany U16 W picked up more points recently compared to USA U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Germany U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
USA U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U16 W USA U16 W
Matches Played 24 11
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 2 4
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 4.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International Women
Germany U16 W vs USA U16 W
2:4
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International Women
Germany U16 W vs USA U16 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gmeineder M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzaferi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

USA U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schuler K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadler C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.09
Avg xA / game 2.5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U16 W 29 / 100
USA U16 W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U16 W USA U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U16 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick USA U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Germany U16 W attacking → ← attacking USA U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U16 W scored in 88% of their last 24 games.

USA U16 W let in goals in 36% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Germany U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

USA U16 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 4.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00