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Germany U21 vs Denmark U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 New Tivoli, Aachen
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tresoldi N.
46'
Sub
Daghim A. In: Kvistgaarden M.
Out: Daghim A.
46'
Sub
Jensen I. In: Bischoff C.
Out: Jensen I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Germany U21 and Denmark U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Germany U21
11%
Draws
9%
Denmark U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Germany U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Germany U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Germany U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 Denmark U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs Denmark U21
3:0
May 31, 2021 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Germany U21
2:3
Jun 17, 2019 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Denmark U21
3:1
Jun 21, 2017 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Denmark U21
3:0
Sep 3, 2015 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs Denmark U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tresoldi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Denmark U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 75 / 100
Denmark U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Germany U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Denmark U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS Denmark U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
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Denmark U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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