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Germany U21 vs France U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Weiper N.
Assist: Nebel P.
11'
Sub
Rosenfelder M. In: Oermann T.
Out: Rosenfelder M.
14' Event
Woltemade N.

AI Match Summary

Germany U21 in this Euro U21 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Germany U21
15%
Draws
39%
France U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany U21 have won more games recently than France U21.
  • Germany U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Germany U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor France U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 10%
France U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 France U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 3.03 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs France U21
3:0
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
France U21 vs Germany U21
2:2
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs France U21
0:1
Mar 21, 2019 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs France U21
2:2
Aug 13, 2013 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs France U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiper N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woltemade N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

France U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 83 / 100
France U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 France U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Germany U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: France U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS France U21
3 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
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France U21

(Away)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1
France U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U21 1
England U21 3
Portugal U21 0
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
Italy U21 2
Denmark U21 2
France U21 3
Semi-finals
England U21 2
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
France U21 0
Final
England U21 3
Germany U21 2