Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany U21 vs Israel U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Leuna Chemie Stadion, Halle
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gruda B.
Assist: Reitz R.
30'
Thielmann J.
35'
Farada A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Germany U21 and Israel U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Germany U21
20%
Draws
28%
Israel U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Germany U21 come out ahead of Israel U21 on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Germany U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Germany U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Israel U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 Israel U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.84 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2024 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Germany U21
1:5
Mar 26, 2024 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Israel U21
2:0
Jun 22, 2023 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Israel U21
1:1
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Germany U21
0:1
Oct 7, 2021 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Israel U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruda B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rohl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Israel U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 95 / 100
Israel U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 Israel U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Germany U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Israel U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS Israel U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 7

Israel U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
10 Oct
Israel U21
1 : 1
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)