Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany U21 vs Latvia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Ostseestadion, Rostock
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Jeltsch F.
19' Event
Weiper N.
Assist: Aseko-Nkili N.
21'
Zaleiko G.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Germany U21 and Latvia U21 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Germany U21
30%
Draws
12%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Germany U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Germany U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 3.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Germany U21
0:4
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Latvia U21
5:0
Mar 25, 2022 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Latvia U21
4:0
Sep 7, 2021 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Germany U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tresoldi N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Weiper N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Latvia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 95 / 100
Latvia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Germany U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Latvia U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS Latvia U21
3 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Latvia U21
0 : 4
Germany U21
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Latvia U21
0 : 4
Germany U21
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
2 Finland U21 8 6 1 1 28:3 19
3 Romania U21 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 8 6 1 1 29:2 19
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 3 1 16:4 15
3 Bulgaria U21 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 8 1 4 3 6:19 7
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Switzerland U21 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Faroe Islands U21 8 4 0 4 8:14 12
4 Iceland U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
5 Luxembourg U21 7 1 1 5 7:19 4
6 Estonia U21 8 0 2 6 9:23 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
3 Ireland U21 8 4 2 2 9:10 14
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 8 7 0 1 26:4 21
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 8 0 0 8 1:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)