Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Bisseck Y.
18'
18'
Vagiannidis G.
22'
22'
Karetsas K.
AI Match Summary
Greece in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greece.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Greece
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Germany lately — more wins on the board than Greece.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Germany Clean Sheet 20%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Germany | Greece |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.36 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Germany
0:0
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Greece
0:1
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Germany vs Greece
2:1
Jun 22, 2012 Euro
Germany vs Greece
4:2
Mar 28, 2001 World Championship
Greece vs Germany
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Germany Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Greece Compare
Top Goalscorer Kourbelis D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Germany 32 / 100
Greece 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Germany Greece
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Germany found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Germany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Greece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Germany VS Greece
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Germany
(Home) 04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0 Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0 Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1 Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2 Paraguay
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0 Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1 Greece
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2 Paraguay
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1 Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1 Curacao
Page 1 of 4
Greece
(Away) 04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0 Germany
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2 Netherlands
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1 Greece
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Greece
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1 Greece
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Greece
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2 Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0 Greece
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0 Greece
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
