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Germany vs Paraguay

World World

World Championship 2026 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Mon, Jun 29, 2026
1 - 2
08:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Enciso J.
Assist: Galarza M.
46'
Sub
Nmecha F. In: Goretzka L.
Out: Nmecha F.
54' Event
Havertz K.
Assist: Wirtz F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Paraguay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Germany
15%
Draws
37%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraguay haven't matched Germany's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Germany a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Germany have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Germany Clean Sheet 20%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany Paraguay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 World Championship
Germany vs Paraguay
1:2
Aug 14, 2013 Friendly International
Germany vs Paraguay
3:3
Jun 15, 2002 World Championship
Germany vs Paraguay
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Havertz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Enciso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany 85 / 100
Paraguay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Germany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Paraguay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany VS Paraguay
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2
Germany
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6