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Germany W vs Spain W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Wed, Jul 23, 2025
0 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Dabritz S.
20'
Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
64'
Sub
Dabritz S. In: Dallmann L.
Out: Dabritz S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Germany W
15%
Draws
41%
Spain W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain W lately — more wins on the board than Germany W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Spain W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Germany W Clean Sheet 15%
Spain W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany W Spain W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.48 2.87
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Spain W vs Germany W
3:0
Nov 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Germany W vs Spain W
0:0
Jul 23, 2025 Euro Women
Germany W vs Spain W
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Spain W vs Germany W
0:1
Jul 12, 2022 Euro Women
Germany W vs Spain W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonmati A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany W 35 / 100
Spain W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany W Spain W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Germany W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Spain W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Germany W VS Spain W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany W

(Home)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 6

Spain W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sweden W 2
England W 3
Norway W 1
Italy W 2
France W 1
Germany W 2
Spain W 2
Switzerland W 0
Semi-finals
England W 2
Italy W 1
Germany W 0
Spain W 1
Final
England W 2
Spain W 1