Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin

Germinal

1 - 1

Guillermo Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Nunez G.

28'

Carcamo F.

32'

Rojas J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Germinal and Guillermo Brown finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Germinal

39%

Draws

31%

Guillermo Brown

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Guillermo Brown come out ahead of Germinal on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 13%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Germinal Clean Sheet 68%

Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Germinal	Guillermo Brown
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	10	12
Draws	8	8
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	0.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Jul 27, 2025 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Germinal

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Mar 16, 2025 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germinal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Guillermo Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucchi P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germinal 41 / 100

Guillermo Brown 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Germinal Guillermo Brown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Germinal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guillermo Brown's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Germinal's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Germinal VS Guillermo Brown

0.5 Goals Scored 0.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

13% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12