Sport Picks
Germinal vs Sol de Mayo
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Rawson 
Match Events
53'
53'
Velazquez J.
62'
62'
Zalazar D.
70'
70'
Sub
Jara G. In: Pereira K.
Out: Jara G.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Germinal and Sol de Mayo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germinal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Germinal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Sol de Mayo haven't matched Germinal's recent run of results.
- Germinal are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Germinal Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Germinal | Sol de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Germinal
1:0
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Sol de Mayo
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Germinal
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Sol de Mayo
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Sol de Mayo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Germinal Compare
Top Goalscorer Velazquez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Sol de Mayo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Germinal 68 / 100
Sol de Mayo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Germinal Sol de Mayo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Germinal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Sol de Mayo registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Sol de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Germinal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Germinal VS Sol de Mayo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Germinal
(Home) 20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0 Germinal
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 1 Germinal
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1 Santamarina
02 Aug
Germinal
2 : 1 Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 3
Sol de Mayo
(Away) 20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1 Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2 Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0 Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0 Sol de Mayo
13 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
12 Jul
Circulo Deportivo
3 : 1 Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
