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Gernika Club vs Amorebieta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club host Amorebieta in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Gernika Club have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Amorebieta's 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Gernika Club slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.94, favoring Amorebieta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gernika Club
30%
Draws
33%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amorebieta lately — more wins on the board than Gernika Club.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Gernika Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 20%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Amorebieta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Mar 2, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 76 / 100
Amorebieta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Gernika Club has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Amorebieta
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gernika Club

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
7 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)