Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gernika Club vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Badiola A.

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gernika Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gernika Club
6%
Draws
90%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Basconia have won more games recently than Gernika Club.
  • Win probability leans Basconia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 10%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Basconia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Gernika Club
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Basconia
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Gernika Club
2:2
Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Basconia
0:1
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Basconia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Badiola A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Basconia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 10 / 100
Basconia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Gernika Club scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gernika Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Basconia
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gernika Club

(Home)
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Tudelano
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
04 Apr
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

Basconia

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)