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Gernika Club vs Salvatierra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Gernika Club host Salvatierra in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Gernika Club are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Gernika Club at 1.38 goals for, 1 against; Salvatierra at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Gernika Club slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2010, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.00) back Gernika Club to edge this. Gernika Club in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gernika Club
6%
Draws
4%
Salvatierra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gernika Club has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Salvatierra.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gernika Club.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 20%
Salvatierra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Salvatierra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Salvatierra
5:0
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Salvatierra vs Gernika Club
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 85 / 100
Salvatierra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Salvatierra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Salvatierra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Gernika Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salvatierra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013