Sport Picks
Gernika Club vs Sestao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 
Match Events
4'
4'
Ortiz J.
86'
86'
Castillo Marcilla A.
90'
90'
Rojo J.
AI Match Summary
Sestao in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sestao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sestao lately — more wins on the board than Gernika Club.
- Win probability leans Gernika Club's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gernika Club | Sestao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gernika Club vs Sestao
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Sestao
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gernika Club
2:2
Feb 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Gernika Club
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Sestao
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gernika Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sestao Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rojo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gernika Club 59 / 100
Sestao 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gernika Club Sestao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gernika Club scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Sestao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Gernika Club remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gernika Club VS Sestao
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gernika Club
(Home) 04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2 Sestao
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1 Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2 Sestao
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 4
Sestao
(Away) 10 Oct
Sestao
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2 Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1 Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2 Sestao
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2 Sestao
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3 Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Eibar B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Sestao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Alaves B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Ourense CF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Gernika Club | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Llanera | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Atletico Astorga | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Marino De Luanco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Coruxo FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 15 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Arosa SC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Cantabria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
