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Getafe vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Coliseum, Getafe
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Getafe host Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Atl. Madrid have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Getafe have conceded 1.41 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Atl. Madrid slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.75) point toward Atl. Madrid. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Getafe
20%
Draws
47%
Atl. Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Madrid are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Getafe Clean Sheet 12%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Getafe Atl. Madrid
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Atl. Madrid vs Getafe
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Getafe
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 LaLiga
Getafe vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 LaLiga
Getafe vs Atl. Madrid
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 Copa del Rey
Atl. Madrid vs Getafe
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Getafe 22 / 100
Atl. Madrid 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Getafe Atl. Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Getafe scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Getafe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Getafe VS Atl. Madrid
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Getafe

(Home)
01 Nov
Getafe
3 : 1
Sevilla
29 Oct
Lebrijana
2 : 3
Getafe
25 Oct
Ath Bilbao
4 : 0
Getafe
22 Oct
Getafe
2 : 5
Lugano
19 Oct
Getafe
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
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Atl. Madrid

(Away)
03 Nov
Atl. Madrid
0 : 2
Bayern Munich
31 Oct
Levante
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid
24 Oct
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)