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Geumsan Insam vs Geoje

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geumsan Insam play Geoje in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geumsan Insam averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Geoje averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Geumsan Insam won 1, Geoje won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Geumsan Insam and 1.81 for Geoje. This points to a Geumsan Insam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Geumsan Insam
40%
Draws
29%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Geoje has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Geumsan Insam.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K4 League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 11%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Geoje
Matches Played 16 24
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Geoje
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 30 / 100
Geoje 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Geoje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Geoje let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Geumsan Insam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Geoje lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geumsan Insam VS Geoje
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369