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Geumsan Insam vs Geoje Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Geumsan Insam Logo

Geumsan Insam

2 - 1
FT
Geoje Logo

Geoje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geumsan Insam in this K4 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Geumsan Insam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Geumsan Insam
20%
Draws
44%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Geoje have won more games recently than Geumsan Insam.
  • Geumsan Insam are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 16%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Geoje
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Geoje
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 66 / 100
Geoje 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geumsan Insam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Geoje has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Geumsan Insam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geumsan Insam VS Geoje
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Geumsan Insam

(Home)
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
25 Jul
Geumsan Insam
1 : 3
Seoul Jungnang
Page 1 of 5

Geoje

(Away)
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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