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Geumsan Insam vs Jinju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Geumsan Insam and Jinju Citizen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Geumsan Insam
35%
Draws
25%
Jinju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 13%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Jinju Citizen
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.52 2
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Jinju Citizen
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Geumsan Insam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 31 / 100
Jinju Citizen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Jinju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Geumsan Insam scored in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Geumsan Insam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Jinju Citizen let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Geumsan Insam VS Jinju Citizen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Geumsan Insam

(Home)
10 Oct
Geumsan Insam
2 : 0
Namyangju
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
Page 1 of 5

Jinju Citizen

(Away)
11 Oct
Pyeongchang United
2 : 1
Jinju Citizen
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 23 11 6 6 32:29 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 22 11 4 7 40:27 37
5 Geumsan Insam 22 9 8 5 35:25 35
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Sejong SA 22 9 2 11 35:49 29
8 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
9 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
10 Gijang United 22 8 2 12 31:43 26
11 Haman 21 6 2 13 23:37 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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